Tag: war

Will there be war between China and the US over the South China Sea?

The Uppsala Conflict Data Program, which provides the ‘gold standard’ definition of ‘war’ for research purposes, defines ‘war’ as armed conflict resulting in at least 1,000 battle-related deaths in a calendar year. The threshold for ‘armed conflict’ is 25 battle-related deaths in a calendar year.

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The South China Sea Dispute: Protracted but Warless

Issue Briefings 2 • 2015 • Serafettin Yilmaz

Despite growing tensions in the South China Sea, two reasons suggest that the maritime territorial disputes are unlikely to devolve into armed conflict.

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