Tag: armed conflict

Will there be war between China and the US over the South China Sea?

The Uppsala Conflict Data Program, which provides the ‘gold standard’ definition of ‘war’ for research purposes, defines ‘war’ as armed conflict resulting in at least 1,000 battle-related deaths in a calendar year. The threshold for ‘armed conflict’ is 25 battle-related deaths in a calendar year.

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US Warships in the South China Sea: A Prelude to War?

Issue Briefings, 14 · 2016

As the US Navy increases its presence in the South China Sea in an attempt to maintain US primacy in Asia, it risks provoking a military clash with China. If regional stability is to be maintained, the US will need to rethink its strategy and seek a compromise.

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The South China Sea Dispute: Protracted but Warless

Issue Briefings, 2 · 2015

Despite growing tensions in the South China Sea, two reasons suggest that the maritime territorial disputes are unlikely to devolve into armed conflict.

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